{ "version": "1.0.0", "month": "2025-01", "published": "2025-01-05", "methodology_version": "v1", "disclaimer": "Single-forwarder benchmark (SINO Shipping). Calibrated monthly against FBX and Drewry WCI on overlapping lanes only — the ~14-16 emerging-markets lanes covered here have no public benchmark, which is precisely the gap this tracker fills.", "clusters": [ { "id": "latam-nearshoring", "name": "LATAM nearshoring", "tagline": "Pacific Alliance + Atlantic alt-ports, Chancay megaport spillover", "lanes": [ "china-brazil", "china-mexico", "china-chile", "china-peru", "china-colombia", "china-ecuador", "china-argentina" ] }, { "id": "iberian-gateway", "name": "Iberian gateway", "tagline": "Algeciras / Valencia / Sines — Southern Europe transshipment to Iberia, North Africa and Atlantic re-export", "lanes": [ "china-spain", "china-portugal" ] } ], "countries": [ { "slug": "argentina", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2150, 2650 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 3450, 4250 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 113, "air_perkg_usd": 10.6, "express_perkg_usd": 16.95, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 32, 40 ], "air": [ 3, 4 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 3, 5 ], "lcl": [ 11, 18 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.76, "sea_20gp": 5.49, "air": 1.92, "express": 1.8, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 3400, 3500, 3675, 3850 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 10.15, 10.25, 10.4, 10.6 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 16.25, 16.45, 16.65, 16.95 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] } }, { "slug": "bolivia", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2450, 3000 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 3950, 4800 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 135, "air_perkg_usd": 10.8, "express_perkg_usd": 17.3, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 35, 42 ], "air": [ 4, 6 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 3, 5 ], "lcl": [ 11, 16 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.79, "sea_20gp": 4.81, "air": 1.41, "express": 1.47, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 3900, 4000, 4175, 4375 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 10.4, 10.5, 10.65, 10.8 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 16.65, 16.8, 17.05, 17.3 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] } }, { "slug": "brazil", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2300, 2800 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 3600, 4400 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 90, "air_perkg_usd": 10.35, "express_perkg_usd": 16.55, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 30, 38 ], "air": [ 3, 4 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 3, 5 ], "lcl": [ 9, 17 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.58, "sea_20gp": 4.08, "air": 1.47, "express": 1.53, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 3550, 3675, 3825, 4000 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 9.95, 10.05, 10.2, 10.35 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 15.9, 16.1, 16.3, 16.55 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] } }, { "slug": "chile", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2750, 3350 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 4350, 5300 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 158, "air_perkg_usd": 7.85, "express_perkg_usd": 12.5, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 28, 35 ], "air": [ 3, 5 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 2, 5 ], "lcl": [ 10, 16 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.89, "sea_20gp": 6.09, "air": 1.95, "express": 1.63, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 4275, 4400, 4600, 4825 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 7.5, 7.6, 7.7, 7.85 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 12.05, 12.15, 12.3, 12.5 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] } }, { "slug": "colombia", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2750, 3350 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 4350, 5300 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 158, "air_perkg_usd": 10.35, "express_perkg_usd": 16.55, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 25, 32 ], "air": [ 3, 5 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 2, 5 ], "lcl": [ 11, 17 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.89, "sea_20gp": 6.09, "air": 1.47, "express": 1.53, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 4275, 4400, 4600, 4825 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 9.95, 10.05, 10.2, 10.35 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 15.9, 16.1, 16.3, 16.55 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] } }, { "slug": "costa-rica", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 3550, 4350 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 5700, 6950 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 178, "air_perkg_usd": 12.1, "express_perkg_usd": 19.4, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 20, 28 ], "air": [ 3, 4 ], "rail": [ 7, 10 ], "express": [ 3, 5 ], "lcl": [ 9, 19 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 11.95, "sea_20gp": 11.27, "air": 4.31, "express": 4.58, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 5725, 5675, 5650, 6325 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 11.65, 11.6, 11.6, 12.1 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 18.65, 18.6, 18.55, 19.4 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "ILA deal", "icon": "info", "status": "stable", "text": "Tentative labor agreement reached — East Coast stable" }, { "label": "Tariff impact", "icon": "alert", "status": "tighter", "text": "New tariffs in effect — importers adjusting sourcing" }, { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Final pre-holiday shipments at peak rates" }, { "label": "Rates peaking", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Expect correction after Lunar New Year break" } ] } }, { "slug": "cuba", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 9000, 11000 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 14400, 17600 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 421, "air_perkg_usd": 12.75, "express_perkg_usd": 20.4, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 28, 35 ], "air": [ 4, 7 ], "rail": [ 6, 8 ], "express": [ 2, 4 ], "lcl": [ 9, 15 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 11.89, "sea_20gp": 11.73, "air": 4.51, "express": 4.35, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 14500, 14375, 14300, 16000 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 12.3, 12.2, 12.2, 12.75 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 19.65, 19.55, 19.55, 20.4 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "ILA deal", "icon": "info", "status": "stable", "text": "Tentative labor agreement reached — East Coast stable" }, { "label": "Tariff impact", "icon": "alert", "status": "tighter", "text": "New tariffs in effect — importers adjusting sourcing" }, { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Final pre-holiday shipments at peak rates" }, { "label": "Rates peaking", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Expect correction after Lunar New Year break" } ] } }, { "slug": "dominican-republic", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 9000, 11000 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 14400, 17600 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 421, "air_perkg_usd": 12.75, "express_perkg_usd": 20.4, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 25, 32 ], "air": [ 3, 6 ], "rail": [ 6, 9 ], "express": [ 2, 4 ], "lcl": [ 10, 16 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 11.89, "sea_20gp": 11.73, "air": 4.51, "express": 4.35, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 14500, 14375, 14300, 16000 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 12.3, 12.2, 12.2, 12.75 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 19.65, 19.55, 19.55, 20.4 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "ILA deal", "icon": "info", "status": "stable", "text": "Tentative labor agreement reached — East Coast stable" }, { "label": "Tariff impact", "icon": "alert", "status": "tighter", "text": "New tariffs in effect — importers adjusting sourcing" }, { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Final pre-holiday shipments at peak rates" }, { "label": "Rates peaking", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Expect correction after Lunar New Year break" } ] } }, { "slug": "ecuador", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2750, 3350 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 4350, 5300 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 158, "air_perkg_usd": 10.35, "express_perkg_usd": 16.55, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 28, 35 ], "air": [ 3, 5 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 2, 5 ], "lcl": [ 9, 18 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.89, "sea_20gp": 6.09, "air": 1.47, "express": 1.53, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 4275, 4400, 4600, 4825 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 9.95, 10.05, 10.2, 10.35 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 15.9, 16.1, 16.3, 16.55 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] } }, { "slug": "el-salvador", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 3550, 4350 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 5700, 6950 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 178, "air_perkg_usd": 12.1, "express_perkg_usd": 19.4, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 20, 28 ], "air": [ 2, 4 ], "rail": [ 5, 8 ], "express": [ 2, 5 ], "lcl": [ 11, 18 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 11.95, "sea_20gp": 11.27, "air": 4.31, "express": 4.58, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 5725, 5675, 5650, 6325 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 11.65, 11.6, 11.6, 12.1 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 18.65, 18.6, 18.55, 19.4 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "ILA deal", "icon": "info", "status": "stable", "text": "Tentative labor agreement reached — East Coast stable" }, { "label": "Tariff impact", "icon": "alert", "status": "tighter", "text": "New tariffs in effect — importers adjusting sourcing" }, { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Final pre-holiday shipments at peak rates" }, { "label": "Rates peaking", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Expect correction after Lunar New Year break" } ] } }, { "slug": "guatemala", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 3550, 4350 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 5700, 6950 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 178, "air_perkg_usd": 12.1, "express_perkg_usd": 19.4, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 20, 28 ], "air": [ 3, 4 ], "rail": [ 5, 6 ], "express": [ 3, 5 ], "lcl": [ 9, 17 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 11.95, "sea_20gp": 11.27, "air": 4.31, "express": 4.58, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 5725, 5675, 5650, 6325 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 11.65, 11.6, 11.6, 12.1 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 18.65, 18.6, 18.55, 19.4 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "ILA deal", "icon": "info", "status": "stable", "text": "Tentative labor agreement reached — East Coast stable" }, { "label": "Tariff impact", "icon": "alert", "status": "tighter", "text": "New tariffs in effect — importers adjusting sourcing" }, { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Final pre-holiday shipments at peak rates" }, { "label": "Rates peaking", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Expect correction after Lunar New Year break" } ] } }, { "slug": "guyana", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2450, 3000 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 3950, 4800 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 135, "air_perkg_usd": 10.8, "express_perkg_usd": 17.3, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 30, 38 ], "air": [ 4, 6 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 3, 5 ], "lcl": [ 12, 19 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.79, "sea_20gp": 4.81, "air": 1.41, "express": 1.47, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 3900, 4000, 4175, 4375 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 10.4, 10.5, 10.65, 10.8 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 16.65, 16.8, 17.05, 17.3 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] } }, { "slug": "haiti", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 9000, 11000 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 14400, 17600 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 421, "air_perkg_usd": 12.75, "express_perkg_usd": 20.4, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 10, 15 ], "air": [ 2, 3 ], "rail": [ 6, 8 ], "express": [ 2, 4 ], "lcl": [ 11, 19 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 11.89, "sea_20gp": 11.73, "air": 4.51, "express": 4.35, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 14500, 14375, 14300, 16000 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 12.3, 12.2, 12.2, 12.75 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 19.65, 19.55, 19.55, 20.4 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "ILA deal", "icon": "info", "status": "stable", "text": "Tentative labor agreement reached — East Coast stable" }, { "label": "Tariff impact", "icon": "alert", "status": "tighter", "text": "New tariffs in effect — importers adjusting sourcing" }, { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Final pre-holiday shipments at peak rates" }, { "label": "Rates peaking", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Expect correction after Lunar New Year break" } ] } }, { "slug": "honduras", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 3550, 4350 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 5700, 6950 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 178, "air_perkg_usd": 12.1, "express_perkg_usd": 19.4, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 20, 28 ], "air": [ 3, 4 ], "rail": [ 6, 9 ], "express": [ 3, 5 ], "lcl": [ 11, 19 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 11.95, "sea_20gp": 11.27, "air": 4.31, "express": 4.58, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 5725, 5675, 5650, 6325 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 11.65, 11.6, 11.6, 12.1 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 18.65, 18.6, 18.55, 19.4 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "ILA deal", "icon": "info", "status": "stable", "text": "Tentative labor agreement reached — East Coast stable" }, { "label": "Tariff impact", "icon": "alert", "status": "tighter", "text": "New tariffs in effect — importers adjusting sourcing" }, { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Final pre-holiday shipments at peak rates" }, { "label": "Rates peaking", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Expect correction after Lunar New Year break" } ] } }, { "slug": "jamaica", 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in effect — importers adjusting sourcing" }, { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Final pre-holiday shipments at peak rates" }, { "label": "Rates peaking", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Expect correction after Lunar New Year break" } ] } }, { "slug": "mexico", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 3550, 4350 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 5700, 6950 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 178, "air_perkg_usd": 12.1, "express_perkg_usd": 19.4, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 18, 25 ], "air": [ 3, 4 ], "rail": [ 6, 9 ], "express": [ 3, 5 ], "lcl": [ 11, 16 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 11.95, "sea_20gp": 11.27, "air": 4.31, "express": 4.58, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 5725, 5675, 5650, 6325 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 11.65, 11.6, 11.6, 12.1 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, 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availability until post-LNY" } ] } } ], "pool_lanes": [ { "id": "china-brazil", "country_slug": "brazil", "country_name": "Brazil", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "primary_mode": "sea", "recommended_origin": "Ningbo (sea via Santos)", "narrative_angle": "Largest LATAM gateway — Santos congestion + China auto manufacturing investment surge", "search_demand": "H", "fbx_drewry_overlap": true, "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America East Coast (FBX)", "country_guide_path": "/country-guides/freight-from-china-to-brazil/", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2300, 2800 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 3600, 4400 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 90, "air_perkg_usd": 10.35, "express_perkg_usd": 16.55, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 30, 38 ], "air": [ 3, 4 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 3, 5 ], "lcl": [ 9, 17 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.58, "sea_20gp": 4.08, "air": 1.47, "express": 1.53, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ 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"Tentative labor agreement reached — East Coast stable" }, { "label": "Tariff impact", "icon": "alert", "status": "tighter", "text": "New tariffs in effect — importers adjusting sourcing" }, { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Final pre-holiday shipments at peak rates" }, { "label": "Rates peaking", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Expect correction after Lunar New Year break" } ] }, "narrative_draft": null }, { "id": "china-chile", "country_slug": "chile", "country_name": "Chile", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "primary_mode": "sea", "recommended_origin": "Shanghai (sea via Valparaiso)", "narrative_angle": "Copper exporter / lithium triangle gateway via Valparaiso", "search_demand": "M", "fbx_drewry_overlap": true, "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America West Coast (FBX)", "country_guide_path": null, "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2750, 3350 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 4350, 5300 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 158, "air_perkg_usd": 7.85, "express_perkg_usd": 12.5, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 28, 35 ], "air": [ 3, 5 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 2, 5 ], "lcl": [ 10, 16 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.89, "sea_20gp": 6.09, "air": 1.95, "express": 1.63, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 4275, 4400, 4600, 4825 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 7.5, 7.6, 7.7, 7.85 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 12.05, 12.15, 12.3, 12.5 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] }, "narrative_draft": null }, { "id": "china-peru", "country_slug": "peru", "country_name": "Peru", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "primary_mode": "sea", "recommended_origin": "Shanghai (sea via Chancay/Callao)", "narrative_angle": "Chancay megaport just opened — first Chinese-built deep-sea hub on Pacific coast", "search_demand": "H", "fbx_drewry_overlap": true, "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America West Coast (FBX)", "country_guide_path": "/shipping-from-china-to-peru/", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2450, 3000 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 3950, 4800 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 135, "air_perkg_usd": 10.8, "express_perkg_usd": 17.3, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 28, 35 ], "air": [ 3, 5 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 2, 4 ], "lcl": [ 11, 16 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.79, "sea_20gp": 4.81, "air": 1.41, "express": 1.47, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 3900, 4000, 4175, 4375 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 10.4, 10.5, 10.65, 10.8 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 16.65, 16.8, 17.05, 17.3 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] }, "narrative_draft": null }, { "id": "china-colombia", "country_slug": "colombia", "country_name": "Colombia", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "primary_mode": "sea", "recommended_origin": "Shenzhen (sea via Buenaventura)", "narrative_angle": "Buenaventura main gateway, Caribbean access via Cartagena", "search_demand": "M", "fbx_drewry_overlap": true, "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America West Coast (FBX)", "country_guide_path": "/freight-china-colombia/", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2750, 3350 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 4350, 5300 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 158, "air_perkg_usd": 10.35, "express_perkg_usd": 16.55, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 25, 32 ], "air": [ 3, 5 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 2, 5 ], "lcl": [ 11, 17 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.89, "sea_20gp": 6.09, "air": 1.47, "express": 1.53, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 4275, 4400, 4600, 4825 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 9.95, 10.05, 10.2, 10.35 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 15.9, 16.1, 16.3, 16.55 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] }, "narrative_draft": null }, { "id": "china-ecuador", "country_slug": "ecuador", "country_name": "Ecuador", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "primary_mode": "sea", "recommended_origin": "Shanghai (sea via Guayaquil)", "narrative_angle": "Banana exporter, USD-economy, Guayaquil dredging", "search_demand": "L", "fbx_drewry_overlap": true, "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America West Coast (FBX)", "country_guide_path": "/freight-china-ecuador/", "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2750, 3350 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 4350, 5300 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 158, "air_perkg_usd": 10.35, "express_perkg_usd": 16.55, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 28, 35 ], "air": [ 3, 5 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 2, 5 ], "lcl": [ 9, 18 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.89, "sea_20gp": 6.09, "air": 1.47, "express": 1.53, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 4275, 4400, 4600, 4825 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 9.95, 10.05, 10.2, 10.35 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 15.9, 16.1, 16.3, 16.55 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] }, "narrative_draft": null }, { "id": "china-argentina", "country_slug": "argentina", "country_name": "Argentina", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "primary_mode": "sea", "recommended_origin": "Ningbo (sea via Buenos Aires)", "narrative_angle": "Buenos Aires gateway — commodity exporter, FX-volatile demand cycles", "search_demand": "M", "fbx_drewry_overlap": true, "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America East Coast (FBX)", "country_guide_path": null, "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 2150, 2650 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 3450, 4250 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 113, "air_perkg_usd": 10.6, "express_perkg_usd": 16.95, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 32, 40 ], "air": [ 3, 4 ], "rail": null, "express": [ 3, 5 ], "lcl": [ 11, 18 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 4.76, "sea_20gp": 5.49, "air": 1.92, "express": 1.8, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 3400, 3500, 3675, 3850 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 10.15, 10.25, 10.4, 10.6 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 16.25, 16.45, 16.65, 16.95 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY rush", "icon": "calendar", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-LNY shipments at premium rates" }, { "label": "Rate peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Rates at seasonal high — drop expected in February" }, { "label": "Space", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Limited availability until post-LNY" } ] }, "narrative_draft": null }, { "id": "china-spain", "country_slug": "spain", "country_name": "Spain", "cluster": "iberian-gateway", "primary_mode": "sea", "recommended_origin": "Shanghai (sea via Algeciras / Valencia)", "narrative_angle": "Algeciras / Valencia hub for Iberia + North Africa transshipment", "search_demand": "H", "fbx_drewry_overlap": true, "fbx_drewry_route": "China → North Europe / Med (FBX, Med proxy)", "country_guide_path": null, "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 6100, 7500 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 9250, 11300 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 176, "air_perkg_usd": 10.7, "express_perkg_usd": 17.15, "rail_20gp_usd": [ 4750, 5850 ], "rail_40gp_usd": [ 6950, 8500 ], "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": 241 }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 25, 31 ], "air": [ 5, 7 ], "rail": [ 13, 18 ], "express": [ 5, 8 ], "lcl": [ 26, 35 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 3.27, "sea_20gp": 3.03, "air": 1.42, "express": 1.78, "rail_40gp": 0.65 }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 8800, 8500, 9950, 10275 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 9.95, 9.8, 10.55, 10.7 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 15.9, 15.65, 16.85, 17.15 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-holiday shipments driving peak rates" }, { "label": "Red Sea routing", "icon": "alert", "status": "tighter", "text": "Cape diversions continue — surcharges maintained" }, { "label": "Post-LNY drop expected", "icon": "calendar", "status": "stable", "text": "Expect significant rate correction after Chinese New Year" }, { "label": "Equipment", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Container availability tight until post-LNY rebalancing" } ] }, "narrative_draft": null }, { "id": "china-portugal", "country_slug": "portugal", "country_name": "Portugal", "cluster": "iberian-gateway", "primary_mode": "sea", "recommended_origin": "Shanghai (sea via Sines / Lisbon)", "narrative_angle": "Sines deepwater port, Atlantic gateway for re-export to Africa + Americas", "search_demand": "M", "fbx_drewry_overlap": false, "country_guide_path": null, "rates": { "sea_20gp_usd": [ 4800, 5900 ], "sea_40gp_usd": [ 7700, 9400 ], "sea_lcl_usd_cbm": 67, "air_perkg_usd": 10.15, "express_perkg_usd": 16.25, "rail_20gp_usd": null, "rail_40gp_usd": null, "rail_lcl_usd_cbm": null }, "transit_days": { "sea": [ 25, 26 ], "air": [ 5, 7 ], "rail": [ 12, 13 ], "express": [ 5, 8 ], "lcl": [ 26, 30 ] }, "mom_delta": { "sea_40gp": 3.32, "sea_20gp": 3.38, "air": 1.5, "express": 1.56, "rail_40gp": null }, "series_12mo": { "sea_40gp_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 7325, 7050, 8275, 8550 ], "air_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 9.45, 9.3, 10, 10.15 ], "express_perkg_usd": [ null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 15.1, 14.9, 16, 16.25 ] }, "market_snapshot": { "items": [ { "label": "LNY peak", "icon": "chart", "status": "tighter", "text": "Last pre-holiday shipments driving peak rates" }, { "label": "Red Sea routing", "icon": "alert", "status": "tighter", "text": "Cape diversions continue — surcharges maintained" }, { "label": "Post-LNY drop expected", "icon": "calendar", "status": "stable", "text": "Expect significant rate correction after Chinese New Year" }, { "label": "Equipment", "icon": "container", "status": "tighter", "text": "Container availability tight until post-LNY rebalancing" } ] }, "narrative_draft": null } ], "featured": [ { "lane_id": "china-mexico", "country_slug": "mexico", "country_name": "Mexico", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "selection_reason": "top_mover_up", "selection_value_pct": 11.95, "primary_mode": "sea", "narrative_angle": "Nearshoring beneficiary — Manzanillo + Lazaro Cardenas + US-Mexico trade corridor", "narrative_draft": null }, { "lane_id": "china-chile", "country_slug": "chile", "country_name": "Chile", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "selection_reason": "top_mover_up", "selection_value_pct": 4.89, "primary_mode": "sea", "narrative_angle": "Copper exporter / lithium triangle gateway via Valparaiso", "narrative_draft": null }, { "lane_id": "china-colombia", "country_slug": "colombia", "country_name": "Colombia", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "selection_reason": "top_mover_up", "selection_value_pct": 4.89, "primary_mode": "sea", "narrative_angle": "Buenaventura main gateway, Caribbean access via Cartagena", "narrative_draft": null }, { "lane_id": "china-spain", "country_slug": "spain", "country_name": "Spain", "cluster": "iberian-gateway", "selection_reason": "top_mover_down", "selection_value_pct": 3.27, "primary_mode": "sea", "narrative_angle": "Algeciras / Valencia hub for Iberia + North Africa transshipment", "narrative_draft": null }, { "lane_id": "china-portugal", "country_slug": "portugal", "country_name": "Portugal", "cluster": "iberian-gateway", "selection_reason": "top_mover_down", "selection_value_pct": 3.32, "primary_mode": "sea", "narrative_angle": "Sines deepwater port, Atlantic gateway for re-export to Africa + Americas", "narrative_draft": null }, { "lane_id": "china-brazil", "country_slug": "brazil", "country_name": "Brazil", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "selection_reason": "top_mover_down", "selection_value_pct": 4.58, "primary_mode": "sea", "narrative_angle": "Largest LATAM gateway — Santos congestion + China auto manufacturing investment surge", "narrative_draft": null }, { "lane_id": "china-peru", "country_slug": "peru", "country_name": "Peru", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "selection_reason": "narrative_event", "selection_value_pct": 4.79, "primary_mode": "sea", "narrative_angle": "Chancay megaport just opened — first Chinese-built deep-sea hub on Pacific coast", "narrative_draft": null }, { "lane_id": "china-ecuador", "country_slug": "ecuador", "country_name": "Ecuador", "cluster": "latam-nearshoring", "selection_reason": "narrative_event", "selection_value_pct": 4.89, "primary_mode": "sea", "narrative_angle": "Banana exporter, USD-economy, Guayaquil dredging", "narrative_draft": null } ], "calibration": { "methodology": "Lane Tracker publishes a single-forwarder benchmark. Where SINO's lanes overlap with FBX (12 routes E-W) or Drewry WCI (8 routes), we publish a delta vs the public index. For the ~14-16 emerging-markets lanes with no public benchmark (Middle Corridor, East Africa, MENA secondary, SE Asia secondary, Caribbean), no comparable data exists publicly.", "overlap_lanes": [ { "lane_id": "china-brazil", "country_name": "Brazil", "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America East Coast (FBX)", "sino_midpoint_sea_40gp_usd": 4000, "public_index_value_usd": null, "delta_pct": null, "note": "Public index values fetched manually at publish time (TODO: automate via FBX API + Drewry widget scrape)." }, { "lane_id": "china-mexico", "country_name": "Mexico", "fbx_drewry_route": "China → North America West Coast (FBX, partial proxy)", "sino_midpoint_sea_40gp_usd": 6325, "public_index_value_usd": null, "delta_pct": null, "note": "Public index values fetched manually at publish time (TODO: automate via FBX API + Drewry widget scrape)." }, { "lane_id": "china-chile", "country_name": "Chile", "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America West Coast (FBX)", "sino_midpoint_sea_40gp_usd": 4825, "public_index_value_usd": null, "delta_pct": null, "note": "Public index values fetched manually at publish time (TODO: automate via FBX API + Drewry widget scrape)." }, { "lane_id": "china-peru", "country_name": "Peru", "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America West Coast (FBX)", "sino_midpoint_sea_40gp_usd": 4375, "public_index_value_usd": null, "delta_pct": null, "note": "Public index values fetched manually at publish time (TODO: automate via FBX API + Drewry widget scrape)." }, { "lane_id": "china-colombia", "country_name": "Colombia", "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America West Coast (FBX)", "sino_midpoint_sea_40gp_usd": 4825, "public_index_value_usd": null, "delta_pct": null, "note": "Public index values fetched manually at publish time (TODO: automate via FBX API + Drewry widget scrape)." }, { "lane_id": "china-ecuador", "country_name": "Ecuador", "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America West Coast (FBX)", "sino_midpoint_sea_40gp_usd": 4825, "public_index_value_usd": null, "delta_pct": null, "note": "Public index values fetched manually at publish time (TODO: automate via FBX API + Drewry widget scrape)." }, { "lane_id": "china-argentina", "country_name": "Argentina", "fbx_drewry_route": "China → South America East Coast (FBX)", "sino_midpoint_sea_40gp_usd": 3850, "public_index_value_usd": null, "delta_pct": null, "note": "Public index values fetched manually at publish time (TODO: automate via FBX API + Drewry widget scrape)." }, { "lane_id": "china-spain", "country_name": "Spain", "fbx_drewry_route": "China → North Europe / Med (FBX, Med proxy)", "sino_midpoint_sea_40gp_usd": 10275, "public_index_value_usd": null, "delta_pct": null, "note": "Public index values fetched manually at publish time (TODO: automate via FBX API + Drewry widget scrape)." } ], "no_benchmark_lanes_count": 1 }, "commentary": { "month": "2025-01", "author": "SINO Shipping desk", "title": "Mexico breaks out 12%, the rest firms quietly", "lede": "January is a Mexico story. The lane adds nearly 12% on tariff frontloading into Manzanillo while the South American cluster firms in low single digits and Iberia barely moves.", "paragraphs": [ "China → Mexico sea 40GP rose 11.95% to USD 5,700–6,950, the top mover in the pool by a wide margin. Manzanillo and Lazaro Cardenas absorbed accelerated frontloading as US tariff timelines crystallised in early January — the lane's market_snapshot flags the tariff rush directly. The move recovers the December underperformance and then some.", "South America firmed in tight bands. The Pacific Alliance cluster — Chile, Colombia, Ecuador — each added 4.89% to USD 4,350–5,300, Argentina +4.76% and Peru +4.79%. The single-pulse pattern that ran through December held: Andean lanes still trade as a block. Brazil added 4.58% to USD 3,600–4,400.", "Iberia decelerated. China → Spain rose 3.27% and China → Portugal +3.32% — both well under the December prints. Algeciras and Sines normalised as the post-Christmas inventory cycle completed and Red Sea capacity stabilised. The 17% December move did not extend; it consolidated." ], "pull_quote": { "stat": "+11.95%", "caption": "CHINA → MEXICO, SEA 40GP, MOM", "context": "tariff frontloading drives the year's first standout move" }, "watch_next": [ "Mexico February print — whether the tariff frontload extends or destocks as inventory lands.", "Lunar New Year capacity unwind on the trans-Pacific — China-LATAM lanes typically loosen mid-February as intra-Asia tonnage frees up.", "Iberian floor — whether March extends the consolidation or resumes a downward leg.", "Pacific Alliance vs Brazil divergence — five months running, the Andean lanes have moved as one block; first crack would mark a regime shift." ] }, "story": null, "counts": { "countries": 26, "pool_lanes": 9, "featured": 8, "overlap_lanes": 8 } }