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SINO Lane Tracker Edição 12

setembro de 2025 snapshot

Mexico rebounds 12%, Iberia keeps falling

September splits the pool sharply. Mexico recovers most of August's losses on Q4 inventory restocking, the LATAM cluster stabilises flat to slightly up, Iberia takes a fourth consecutive leg down.


26 rotas 9 comentadas 8 cruzadas Publicado em 5 de setembro de 2025 Metodologia v1 JSON RSS Citar Solicitar cotação → Snapshot mais recente →

Momentum de clusters · média MoM marítimo 40GP

LATAM
+3.4%
7 rotas
Iberia
-4.2%
2 rotas

Atlas · marítimo 40GP MoM

As 26 rotas no mapa

Cada ponto é um país de destino. A cor reflete o delta MoM do marítimo 40GP deste mês. Pontos maiores marcam as 9 rotas que acompanhamos e comentamos a cada mês. Clique em um ponto para ver tarifas e tendência.

  • Alta > +5% MoM
  • Neutro ±5%
  • Queda < −5% MoM
  • Sem dados
  • Rota comentada

26 pontos representando países de destino estão plotados no mapa. A cor reflete a variação mês a mês. Para navegação por teclado utilize a tabela de dados abaixo na página.

Nota do editor · setembro de 2025

Mexico rebounds 12%, Iberia keeps falling

September splits the pool sharply. Mexico recovers most of August's losses on Q4 inventory restocking, the LATAM cluster stabilises flat to slightly up, Iberia takes a fourth consecutive leg down.

China → Mexico sea 40GP rose 12.38% to USD 2,650–3,250 — the top mover in the pool — as Manzanillo demand re-firmed on US Q4 inventory restocking and the tariff frontload cycle reopened. The lane recovered roughly a third of the August collapse but stays well below its mid-cycle baseline; the structural compression versus 2024 levels persists.

Iberia continued to bleed. China → Spain shed 4.27% to USD 5,050–6,150 and China → Portugal -4.10% to USD 4,200–5,150. Algeciras transshipment did not find support as Mediterranean summer demand collapsed and forward bookings into the European Christmas window thinned. The cumulative move since June is now roughly -30% on Iberia versus +12% on Mexico.

The LATAM cluster stabilised. Argentina printed +2.13%, Brazil +2.04%, Pacific Alliance lanes +1.69% each, Peru +1.87%. The single-block behaviour stretches to twelve months. After two months of heavy declines, the Andean trade found a floor — but only just; the rebound is shallow compared to the June GRI.

Para observar no próximo mês

  • Iberia fifth-leg risk — four consecutive negatives; October needs a floor or Spain breaks USD 4,000.
  • Mexico Q4 cycle — whether the restocking extends through October or destocks again on tariff timing.
  • Pacific Alliance block — twelve months and counting; Chancay has not produced visible Callao divergence.
  • Brazil agribusiness off-season — Santos inbound rates typically soften through October-November.

Por SINO Shipping desk

Este mês

8 destaques do mês

Spotlights · este mês

3 altas ↑ · 3 quedas ↓ · 2 spotlights narrativos · rotação mensal

Queda ↓ iberian-gateway

Spain

-4.3%

Algeciras / Valencia hub for Iberia + North Africa transshipment

Marítimo 40GP 12 m

Mais em iberian-gateway

Queda ↓ iberian-gateway

Portugal

-4.1%

Sines deepwater port, Atlantic gateway for re-export to Africa + Americas

Marítimo 40GP 12 m

Mais em iberian-gateway

Tendência 12 meses · média marítimo 40GP

Como cada cluster se moveu, média marítimo 40GP

Uma linha por cluster editorial. Passe o cursor sobre o gráfico para ver os valores mensais. Útil para detectar mudanças estruturais por trás dos spotlights do mês.

$2,171 $4,115 $6,060 $8,004 $9,949 -11m -8m -5m -2m setembro de 2025

    Ver tabela de dados
    Média marítimo 40GP USD em 12 meses por cluster
    Mês LATAM Iberia
    11 meses atrás $4,200 $8,063
    10 meses atrás $4,293 $7,775
    9 meses atrás $4,446 $9,113
    8 meses atrás $4,718 $9,413
    7 meses atrás $4,154 $7,500
    6 meses atrás $3,086 $6,050
    5 meses atrás $2,850 $4,825
    4 meses atrás $2,918 $5,200
    3 meses atrás $3,946 $7,025
    2 meses atrás $3,386 $6,663
    1 mês atrás $2,707 $5,363
    setembro de 2025 $2,796 $5,138
    • LATAM
    • Iberia
    Movimento

    Maiores variações — marítimo 40GP

    Maiores altas

    Marítimo 40GP MoM

    Maiores quedas

    Marítimo 40GP MoM
    • Spain
      -4.3%

      Algeciras / Valencia hub for Iberia + North Africa transshipment

    • Sines deepwater port, Atlantic gateway for re-export to Africa + Americas

    • Ecuador
      +1.7%

      Banana exporter, USD-economy, Guayaquil dredging

    • Buenaventura main gateway, Caribbean access via Cartagena

    • Chile
      +1.7%

      Copper exporter / lithium triangle gateway via Valparaiso

    Cobertura

    Todas as 26 rotas com origem China

    marca as 9 rotas do pool de destaques.

    ← role para ver todas as colunas →

    Comparar 12 m Expandir linha
    Rota do pool editorial. Argentina
    $2,150–$2,650 $9.20 $14.75 +2.1%
    Bolivia
    $2,450–$3,000 $9.40 $15.05 +1.9%
    Rota do pool editorial. Brazil
    $2,250–$2,750 $9.00 $14.40 +2.0%
    Rota do pool editorial. Chile
    $2,700–$3,300 $6.80 $10.90 +1.7%
    Rota do pool editorial. Colombia
    $2,700–$3,300 $9.00 $14.40 +1.7%
    Costa Rica
    $2,650–$3,250 $9.45 $15.15 +12.4%
    Cuba
    $6,700–$8,200 $9.95 $15.95 +11.2%
    Dominican Republic
    $6,700–$8,200 $9.95 $15.95 +11.2%
    Rota do pool editorial. Ecuador
    $2,700–$3,300 $9.00 $14.40 +1.7%
    El Salvador
    $2,650–$3,250 $9.45 $15.15 +12.4%
    Guatemala
    $2,650–$3,250 $9.45 $15.15 +12.4%
    Guyana
    $2,450–$3,000 $9.40 $15.05 +1.9%
    Haiti
    $6,700–$8,200 $9.95 $15.95 +11.2%
    Honduras
    $2,650–$3,250 $9.45 $15.15 +12.4%
    Jamaica
    $6,700–$8,200 $9.95 $15.95 +11.2%
    Rota do pool editorial. Mexico
    $2,650–$3,250 $9.45 $15.15 +12.4%
    Nicaragua
    $2,650–$3,250 $9.45 $15.15 +12.4%
    Panama
    $2,650–$3,250 $9.45 $15.15 +12.4%
    Paraguay
    $2,450–$3,000 $9.40 $15.05 +1.9%
    Rota do pool editorial. Peru
    $2,450–$3,000 $9.40 $15.05 +1.9%
    Rota do pool editorial. Portugal
    $4,200–$5,150 $7.90 $12.65 -4.1%
    Rota do pool editorial. Spain
    $5,050–$6,150 $8.30 $13.30 $6,500–$7,950 -4.3%
    Suriname
    $2,450–$3,000 $9.40 $15.05 +1.9%
    Trinidad And Tobago
    $6,700–$8,200 $9.95 $15.95 +11.2%
    Uruguay
    $2,250–$2,750 $11.00 $17.60 +2.0%
    Venezuela
    $2,450–$3,000 $9.40 $15.05 +1.9%
    Metodologia

    Como calibramos com os índices públicos.

    01 · Fonte de dados

    As tarifas são as medianas mensais próprias da SINO Shipping em 26 rotas saindo da China — o book de um único agente de carga, não um índice multi-armador. FCL/LCL/aéreo/ferroviário/expresso capturados na mesma semana de cada mês.

    02 · Calibração

    Lane Tracker publishes a single-forwarder benchmark. Where SINO's lanes overlap with FBX (12 routes E-W) or Drewry WCI (8 routes), we publish a delta vs the public index. For the ~14-16 emerging-markets lanes with no public benchmark (Middle Corridor, East Africa, MENA secondary, SE Asia secondary, Caribbean), no comparable data exists publicly.

    03 · Cadência e correções

    Publicado mensalmente, na última semana do mês, na metodologia v1. Correções materiais ficam registradas no changelog da página de metodologia; snapshots de meses anteriores permanecem congelados nos valores publicados.

    Metodologia completa

    Imprensa e dados

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