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SINO Lane Tracker Edição 15

dezembro de 2025 snapshot

LATAM flat, Iberia sheds another 24%, Mexico unwinds 14%

December prints the cleanest divergence of the back-history. The LATAM Pacific Alliance cluster is essentially flat, Mexico destocks 14% on tariff timing, Iberia takes another -24% leg.


26 rotas 9 comentadas 8 cruzadas Publicado em 5 de dezembro de 2025 Metodologia v1 JSON RSS Citar Solicitar cotação → Snapshot mais recente →

Momentum de clusters · média MoM marítimo 40GP

LATAM
-1.8%
7 rotas
Iberia
-24.0%
2 rotas

Atlas · marítimo 40GP MoM

As 26 rotas no mapa

Cada ponto é um país de destino. A cor reflete o delta MoM do marítimo 40GP deste mês. Pontos maiores marcam as 9 rotas que acompanhamos e comentamos a cada mês. Clique em um ponto para ver tarifas e tendência.

  • Alta > +5% MoM
  • Neutro ±5%
  • Queda < −5% MoM
  • Sem dados
  • Rota comentada

26 pontos representando países de destino estão plotados no mapa. A cor reflete a variação mês a mês. Para navegação por teclado utilize a tabela de dados abaixo na página.

Nota do editor · dezembro de 2025

LATAM flat, Iberia sheds another 24%, Mexico unwinds 14%

December prints the cleanest divergence of the back-history. The LATAM Pacific Alliance cluster is essentially flat, Mexico destocks 14% on tariff timing, Iberia takes another -24% leg.

China → Spain sea 40GP shed 24.06% to USD 3,195–3,905 and China → Portugal -23.87% to USD 2,655–3,245. The Iberian gateway has now declined six of the last seven months. Algeciras transshipment volumes for the European post-Christmas window collapsed earlier than the seasonal pattern modelled — forward orders into January-February failed to land at the usual cadence.

Mexico shed 13.67% to USD 2,700–3,300, giving back roughly 40% of November's 35% rebound. The tariff frontload cycle reverses cleanly: November bookings into Manzanillo destocked in December as US Q1 inventory windows closed. The lane has now run three full firm-then-destock cycles in 2025.

The LATAM cluster was effectively flat. Chile, Colombia and Ecuador each printed 0.00%, Brazil 0.00%, Peru +0.28%, Argentina +1.05%. Fifteen months of single-block behaviour. The November +15% firm held — the Andean trade neither extended nor retraced. Carrier capacity rationalisation on the South America trade is the most plausible read on a print this tightly clustered.

Para observar no próximo mês

  • Iberia floor — six of seven months negative, Spain at USD 3,500; January Lunar New Year prep should support.
  • Mexico Q1 cycle — third tariff frontload in twelve months; January typically firms ahead of February policy windows.
  • Pacific Alliance block — fifteen months running; year ends without a single visible Andean lane divergence.
  • Brazil ag export window opens January — Santos congestion should support inbound rates into Q1.

Por SINO Shipping desk

Este mês

8 destaques do mês

Spotlights · este mês

3 altas ↑ · 3 quedas ↓ · 2 spotlights narrativos · rotação mensal

Queda ↓ iberian-gateway

Spain

-24.1%

Algeciras / Valencia hub for Iberia + North Africa transshipment

Marítimo 40GP 12 m

Mais em iberian-gateway

Queda ↓ iberian-gateway

Portugal

-23.9%

Sines deepwater port, Atlantic gateway for re-export to Africa + Americas

Marítimo 40GP 12 m

Mais em iberian-gateway

Tendência 12 meses · média marítimo 40GP

Como cada cluster se moveu, média marítimo 40GP

Uma linha por cluster editorial. Passe o cursor sobre o gráfico para ver os valores mensais. Útil para detectar mudanças estruturais por trás dos spotlights do mês.

$1,874 $3,898 $5,922 $7,947 $9,971 -11m -8m -5m -2m dezembro de 2025

    Ver tabela de dados
    Média marítimo 40GP USD em 12 meses por cluster
    Mês LATAM Iberia
    11 meses atrás $4,718 $9,413
    10 meses atrás $4,154 $7,500
    9 meses atrás $3,086 $6,050
    8 meses atrás $2,850 $4,825
    7 meses atrás $2,918 $5,200
    6 meses atrás $3,946 $7,025
    5 meses atrás $3,386 $6,663
    4 meses atrás $2,707 $5,363
    3 meses atrás $2,796 $5,138
    2 meses atrás $2,432 $3,863
    1 mês atrás $2,868 $4,275
    dezembro de 2025 $2,805 $3,250
    • LATAM
    • Iberia
    Movimento

    Maiores variações — marítimo 40GP

    Maiores altas

    Marítimo 40GP MoM
    • Buenos Aires gateway — commodity exporter, FX-volatile demand cycles

    • Bolivia
      +0.3%
    • Guyana
      +0.3%
    • Peru
      +0.3%

      Chancay megaport just opened — first Chinese-built deep-sea hub on Pacific coast

    Maiores quedas

    Marítimo 40GP MoM
    Cobertura

    Todas as 26 rotas com origem China

    marca as 9 rotas do pool de destaques.

    ← role para ver todas as colunas →

    Comparar 12 m Expandir linha
    Rota do pool editorial. Argentina
    $2,160–$2,640 $9.20 $14.72 +1.1%
    Bolivia
    $2,459–$3,006 $9.40 $15.04 +0.3%
    Rota do pool editorial. Brazil
    $2,250–$2,750 $9.00 $14.40 =
    Rota do pool editorial. Chile
    $2,700–$3,300 $6.80 $10.88 =
    Rota do pool editorial. Colombia
    $2,700–$3,300 $9.00 $14.40 =
    Costa Rica
    $2,700–$3,300 $9.50 $15.20 -13.7%
    Cuba
    $6,840–$8,360 $10.00 $16.00 -13.9%
    Dominican Republic
    $6,840–$8,360 $10.00 $16.00 -13.9%
    Rota do pool editorial. Ecuador
    $2,700–$3,300 $9.00 $14.40 =
    El Salvador
    $2,700–$3,300 $9.50 $15.20 -13.7%
    Guatemala
    $2,700–$3,300 $9.50 $15.20 -13.7%
    Guyana
    $2,459–$3,006 $9.40 $15.04 +0.3%
    Haiti
    $6,840–$8,360 $10.00 $16.00 -13.9%
    Honduras
    $2,700–$3,300 $9.50 $15.20 -13.7%
    Jamaica
    $6,840–$8,360 $10.00 $16.00 -13.9%
    Rota do pool editorial. Mexico
    $2,700–$3,300 $9.50 $15.20 -13.7%
    Nicaragua
    $2,700–$3,300 $9.50 $15.20 -13.7%
    Panama
    $2,700–$3,300 $9.50 $15.20 -13.7%
    Paraguay
    $2,459–$3,006 $9.40 $15.04 +0.3%
    Rota do pool editorial. Peru
    $2,459–$3,006 $9.40 $15.04 +0.3%
    Rota do pool editorial. Portugal
    $2,655–$3,245 $6.90 $11.04 -23.9%
    Rota do pool editorial. Spain
    $3,195–$3,905 $7.26 $11.62 $6,336–$7,744 -24.1%
    Suriname
    $2,459–$3,006 $9.40 $15.04 +0.3%
    Trinidad And Tobago
    $6,840–$8,360 $10.00 $16.00 -13.9%
    Uruguay
    $2,250–$2,750 $11.00 $17.60 =
    Venezuela
    $2,459–$3,006 $9.40 $15.04 +0.3%
    Metodologia

    Como calibramos com os índices públicos.

    01 · Fonte de dados

    As tarifas são as medianas mensais próprias da SINO Shipping em 26 rotas saindo da China — o book de um único agente de carga, não um índice multi-armador. FCL/LCL/aéreo/ferroviário/expresso capturados na mesma semana de cada mês.

    02 · Calibração

    Lane Tracker publishes a single-forwarder benchmark. Where SINO's lanes overlap with FBX (12 routes E-W) or Drewry WCI (8 routes), we publish a delta vs the public index. For the ~14-16 emerging-markets lanes with no public benchmark (Middle Corridor, East Africa, MENA secondary, SE Asia secondary, Caribbean), no comparable data exists publicly.

    03 · Cadência e correções

    Publicado mensalmente, na última semana do mês, na metodologia v1. Correções materiais ficam registradas no changelog da página de metodologia; snapshots de meses anteriores permanecem congelados nos valores publicados.

    Metodologia completa

    Imprensa e dados

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