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SINO Lane Tracker Edição 13

outubro de 2025 snapshot

Iberia takes a fifth leg down, 25%

October is the Iberian gateway's cleanest collapse of the year. Spain and Portugal both shed roughly 25% — the steepest single-month Iberian move in the back-history. LATAM unwinds in lockstep at -13%.


26 rotas 9 comentadas 8 cruzadas Publicado em 5 de outubro de 2025 Metodologia v1 JSON RSS Citar Solicitar cotação → Snapshot mais recente →

Momentum de clusters · média MoM marítimo 40GP

LATAM
-13.0%
7 rotas
Iberia
-24.8%
2 rotas

Atlas · marítimo 40GP MoM

As 26 rotas no mapa

Cada ponto é um país de destino. A cor reflete o delta MoM do marítimo 40GP deste mês. Pontos maiores marcam as 9 rotas que acompanhamos e comentamos a cada mês. Clique em um ponto para ver tarifas e tendência.

  • Alta > +5% MoM
  • Neutro ±5%
  • Queda < −5% MoM
  • Sem dados
  • Rota comentada

26 pontos representando países de destino estão plotados no mapa. A cor reflete a variação mês a mês. Para navegação por teclado utilize a tabela de dados abaixo na página.

Nota do editor · outubro de 2025

Iberia takes a fifth leg down, 25%

October is the Iberian gateway's cleanest collapse of the year. Spain and Portugal both shed roughly 25% — the steepest single-month Iberian move in the back-history. LATAM unwinds in lockstep at -13%.

China → Portugal sea 40GP shed 25.13% to USD 3,150–3,850 and China → Spain -24.55% to USD 3,800–4,650. The Iberian gateway has now declined every month since June. Algeciras transshipment to North Africa and Atlantic re-export collapsed as European Q4 import demand failed to materialise — the back-to-school cycle did not extend into pre-Christmas restocking the way the Mediterranean trade modelled.

The LATAM cluster shed as a block. Pacific Alliance lanes — Chile, Colombia, Ecuador — each printed -13.33%, Brazil -13.00% to USD 1,950–2,400, Peru -12.84%, Argentina -12.50%. Thirteen months of single-block movement. The Brazil sea 40GP is now the lowest absolute level in the back-history.

Mexico shed in line with the cluster at -12.71% to USD 2,300–2,850. The September rebound did not extend; the tariff cycle gave back what it gained as US Q4 orders thinned. The lane is no longer the LATAM premium — it now trades roughly in line with the Pacific Alliance baseline, completing the structural inversion that started in April.

Para observar no próximo mês

  • Iberia floor — five consecutive declines, cumulative -50% since June; November needs support or Spain breaks USD 3,500.
  • LATAM cluster rebound timing — Brazil at the back-history low; typical Q4 inventory pull should arrive in November.
  • Mexico-Pacific Alliance ranking — first full alignment with the cluster baseline, nearshoring premium gone.
  • Pacific Alliance block — thirteen months; Chancay continues to track the pool, no Callao differentiation.

Por SINO Shipping desk

Este mês

8 destaques do mês

Spotlights · este mês

3 altas ↑ · 3 quedas ↓ · 2 spotlights narrativos · rotação mensal

Queda ↓ iberian-gateway

Portugal

-25.1%

Sines deepwater port, Atlantic gateway for re-export to Africa + Americas

Marítimo 40GP 12 m

Mais em iberian-gateway

Queda ↓ iberian-gateway

Spain

-24.6%

Algeciras / Valencia hub for Iberia + North Africa transshipment

Marítimo 40GP 12 m

Mais em iberian-gateway

Tendência 12 meses · média marítimo 40GP

Como cada cluster se moveu, média marítimo 40GP

Uma linha por cluster editorial. Passe o cursor sobre o gráfico para ver os valores mensais. Útil para detectar mudanças estruturais por trás dos spotlights do mês.

$1,874 $3,898 $5,922 $7,947 $9,971 -11m -8m -5m -2m outubro de 2025

    Ver tabela de dados
    Média marítimo 40GP USD em 12 meses por cluster
    Mês LATAM Iberia
    11 meses atrás $4,293 $7,775
    10 meses atrás $4,446 $9,113
    9 meses atrás $4,718 $9,413
    8 meses atrás $4,154 $7,500
    7 meses atrás $3,086 $6,050
    6 meses atrás $2,850 $4,825
    5 meses atrás $2,918 $5,200
    4 meses atrás $3,946 $7,025
    3 meses atrás $3,386 $6,663
    2 meses atrás $2,707 $5,363
    1 mês atrás $2,796 $5,138
    outubro de 2025 $2,432 $3,863
    • LATAM
    • Iberia
    Movimento

    Maiores variações — marítimo 40GP

    Maiores altas

    Marítimo 40GP MoM

    Maiores quedas

    Marítimo 40GP MoM
    • Portugal
      -25.1%

      Sines deepwater port, Atlantic gateway for re-export to Africa + Americas

    • Spain
      -24.6%

      Algeciras / Valencia hub for Iberia + North Africa transshipment

    • Ecuador
      -13.3%

      Banana exporter, USD-economy, Guayaquil dredging

    • Colombia
      -13.3%

      Buenaventura main gateway, Caribbean access via Cartagena

    • Chile
      -13.3%

      Copper exporter / lithium triangle gateway via Valparaiso

    Cobertura

    Todas as 26 rotas com origem China

    marca as 9 rotas do pool de destaques.

    ← role para ver todas as colunas →

    Comparar 12 m Expandir linha
    Rota do pool editorial. Argentina
    $1,900–$2,300 $8.90 $14.25 -12.5%
    Bolivia
    $2,150–$2,600 $9.10 $14.55 -12.8%
    Rota do pool editorial. Brazil
    $1,950–$2,400 $8.70 $13.95 -13.0%
    Rota do pool editorial. Chile
    $2,350–$2,850 $6.60 $10.50 -13.3%
    Rota do pool editorial. Colombia
    $2,350–$2,850 $8.70 $13.95 -13.3%
    Costa Rica
    $2,300–$2,850 $9.15 $14.65 -12.7%
    Cuba
    $5,900–$7,200 $9.65 $15.45 -12.1%
    Dominican Republic
    $5,900–$7,200 $9.65 $15.45 -12.1%
    Rota do pool editorial. Ecuador
    $2,350–$2,850 $8.70 $13.95 -13.3%
    El Salvador
    $2,300–$2,850 $9.15 $14.65 -12.7%
    Guatemala
    $2,300–$2,850 $9.15 $14.65 -12.7%
    Guyana
    $2,150–$2,600 $9.10 $14.55 -12.8%
    Haiti
    $5,900–$7,200 $9.65 $15.45 -12.1%
    Honduras
    $2,300–$2,850 $9.15 $14.65 -12.7%
    Jamaica
    $5,900–$7,200 $9.65 $15.45 -12.1%
    Rota do pool editorial. Mexico
    $2,300–$2,850 $9.15 $14.65 -12.7%
    Nicaragua
    $2,300–$2,850 $9.15 $14.65 -12.7%
    Panama
    $2,300–$2,850 $9.15 $14.65 -12.7%
    Paraguay
    $2,150–$2,600 $9.10 $14.55 -12.8%
    Rota do pool editorial. Peru
    $2,150–$2,600 $9.10 $14.55 -12.8%
    Rota do pool editorial. Portugal
    $3,150–$3,850 $7.25 $11.55 -25.1%
    Rota do pool editorial. Spain
    $3,800–$4,650 $7.60 $12.20 $6,400–$7,800 -24.6%
    Suriname
    $2,150–$2,600 $9.10 $14.55 -12.8%
    Trinidad And Tobago
    $5,900–$7,200 $9.65 $15.45 -12.1%
    Uruguay
    $1,950–$2,400 $10.65 $17.00 -13.0%
    Venezuela
    $2,150–$2,600 $9.10 $14.55 -12.8%
    Metodologia

    Como calibramos com os índices públicos.

    01 · Fonte de dados

    As tarifas são as medianas mensais próprias da SINO Shipping em 26 rotas saindo da China — o book de um único agente de carga, não um índice multi-armador. FCL/LCL/aéreo/ferroviário/expresso capturados na mesma semana de cada mês.

    02 · Calibração

    Lane Tracker publishes a single-forwarder benchmark. Where SINO's lanes overlap with FBX (12 routes E-W) or Drewry WCI (8 routes), we publish a delta vs the public index. For the ~14-16 emerging-markets lanes with no public benchmark (Middle Corridor, East Africa, MENA secondary, SE Asia secondary, Caribbean), no comparable data exists publicly.

    03 · Cadência e correções

    Publicado mensalmente, na última semana do mês, na metodologia v1. Correções materiais ficam registradas no changelog da página de metodologia; snapshots de meses anteriores permanecem congelados nos valores publicados.

    Metodologia completa

    Imprensa e dados

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